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Topic: Biden’s health Post ReplyPost New Topic
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Wilson Mui
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Joined: 27 June 2004
Location: United States
Posts: 4539
Posted: 18 July 2024 at 3:21pm | IP Logged | 1 post reply

From what I understand, many of these pills
are unreliable because people change their
mind or lie. Also, pollsters put more weight
on Republican voters after Trump beat Hillary
Clinton, but now we have seen with recent
Democratic wins, it may have gone too far.
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Mark Haslett
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Joined: 19 April 2004
Location: United States
Posts: 6315
Posted: 18 July 2024 at 4:04pm | IP Logged | 2 post reply

C— When these f'n Dems said they endorsed and fully supported Biden
100%...we didn't know they had an "unless...." attached to that
"commitment."

**

Sigh.
“Unless he can’t speak coherently and win” is just not understood to rest at
the limit of any reasonable commitment to a politician, huh?
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Brad Wilders
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Joined: 15 December 2008
Posts: 177
Posted: 18 July 2024 at 4:35pm | IP Logged | 3 post reply

"Nate Silver had Hillary Clinton at a 86% chance of winning the election in August of 2016. We all know how that went."

I'm not sure I follow your point.  Saying something happens 86% of the time is not disproven because it didn't happen. It had a 14% chance of not happening.   

And the odds he put on Trump were higher than every other forecaster at the time, many of which did suggest near certainty that Clinton would win.  
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John Byrne
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Grumpy Old Guy

Joined: 11 May 2005
Posts: 132763
Posted: 18 July 2024 at 4:46pm | IP Logged | 4 post reply

Everything is 50/50.

Either it will happen or it won’t.

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