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Charles Valderrama
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Joined: 16 April 2004
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Posted: 07 July 2024 at 11:00pm | IP Logged | 1  

Never said "having a candidate who can operate at a minimum human level after 8PM" would be a catastrophe.

Also, I'm not interested in continuing this lopsided debate... no one seems to want to focus on the other guy who's self-serving and content with blowing up the Constitution. THAT'S a problem.... and we can solve it by standing united. (You can't tell voters that their votes count but then disenfranchise all the voters who voted for Biden in the primary. We want reliability, not chaos.)

Let's NOT keep NORMALIZING that guy.

If you don't want to acknowledge THAT there's nothing I can do.

-C!


Edited by Charles Valderrama on 07 July 2024 at 11:17pm
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James Woodcock
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Posted: 07 July 2024 at 11:24pm | IP Logged | 2  

Trump is a convicted felon, & the stuff coming from the Epstein papers is
scary. The project 2025 stuff is scary.
But his fan base will remain loyal no matter what.

They are blind & would follow him over a hill.
I acknowledge all the problems there are with him.

But you know what?
None of that will change his fan base.

This is about whether Biden’s support will also be so blindly loyal. This
decline has been on for a while now. It appears to be @ a tipping point - the
reasons for his performance have been
Over briefed
A cold
Jet lag

This is not about loyalists.
It’s about the undecided.
Those that are prepared to make a choice between Biden & Trump.
You are not going to convince them to choose Biden based on recent
performance.
What can you not see that?
Why can’t he see that?

He is showing a staggering level of arrogance & hubris.
You & I do not need convincing that Biden is the better choice.
Other people do.
You need to be able to put yourselves in their shoes & think what they might
be thinking.
Unless you can do that, you will not be able to see the scale of the risk.
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Casey Sager
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Posted: 07 July 2024 at 11:26pm | IP Logged | 3  

No one here is normalizing Trump, but no one here is frothing at the mouth either because it's beating a dead horse. We all know Trump is bad and what he represents.

Funny you mention the democratic primary because I wasn't aware they had one ( yes, I know the sham they had was called a primary ).
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Dave Phelps
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Posted: 09 July 2024 at 2:40am | IP Logged | 4  

 James Woodcock wrote:
This is not about loyalists.
It’s about the undecided.
Those that are prepared to make a choice between Biden & Trump.
You are not going to convince them to choose Biden based on recent
performance.

Sure, but where are the compelling arguments for Trump?  Take the debate - "He ignored all of the questions, took no responsibility for anything that happened under his watch, took credit for things he had nothing to do with and spewed racist nonsense, but he sure was loud!  I had my doubts, but now I KNOW that's my guy!"  Or there's his recent diatribe about whether its better to get electrocuted by a bad battery from an electric boat or eaten by a shark.  Or the Epstein files or...  

When all is said and done, what will convince The Undecideds is completely unknown and I really wish the "step down" crowd would at least acknowledge that.  So far, everything I see from that group reminds me of the underpants stealing gnomes from South Park:

Phase 1 - Drop Biden
Phase 2 - ???
Phase 3 - Victory!

"President Biden is old" is hardly news; it was a Definite Concern back in 2020 as well.  Moreover, he's never been one for stirring rhetoric and he's frequently flubbed his lines (his "gaffes" are the stuff of legend).  It wasn't a dealbreaker back in 2020, so it won't necessarily be a dealbreaker now.

But even if you feel there's a significant risk that it is, it's not like swapping out the ticket is a guaranteed success.  You lose the incumbency advantage (I think even Harris would take a hit since she wasn't In Charge) and if the Democrats nominate the "wrong" candidate (which, for all we know, could be any of the names currently being floated around for one reason or another), then the Undecideds may think that "we survived Trump before and it's not like he can run again; I'm sure it'll be fine."

Maybe I'm paying too much attention to Allan Lichtman's opinion, but I can't really see dropping Biden as the best option if the Democrats actually want to win.  That said, I do think the campaign should have Harris do more events as if she WAS going to take over the ticket to kind of sell people on her as fully capable to take over if Biden doesn't make it the full four years.
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Casey Sager
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Posted: 09 July 2024 at 2:19pm | IP Logged | 5  

Check the polling numbers, they weren't good before the debate and they're terrible now.

For reference: At this point in the last election, Biden was up 9 points in the polls and barely won by 40 thousand votes in a few swing states.

Bidens approval rating is currently at 37.5%. Historically in the last 40+ years NO incumbant with an approval rating of under 40% has won reelection.

Democrats need to stop burying their heads in the sand and wake up because there is a very real chance that we're going to have a convicted felon as our next President.
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Mark Haslett
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Posted: 09 July 2024 at 4:16pm | IP Logged | 6  

Dave: I can't really see dropping Biden as the best option if the Democrats
actually want to win.

***

Biden has never been leading in the polls. He is behind in the all-important
swing states. After the debate, he is at an all time low. Why? Because voters
saw with their own eyes what we all feared: Biden cannot prosecute the
case against Trump. Trump is adjudicated rapist, a 34x felon, an
adjudicated thief and fraud, a twice impeached insurrectionist— Biden can’t
get the voters to see any of that (fairly or not) because of his obvious aging.

A new candidate— any new candidate— at this moment would easily be the
most exciting thing that’s happened in politics in 75 years. The swing voters
just want a normal centrist candidate they can believe in. Kamala fits that
bill and so do all the other likely options. They all poll better than Biden.

It’s time for Biden’s sense of history and the moment to call him to
greatness by stepping aside for the good of his party and his nation. This is
a great moment of opportunity. It’s a dangerous time to be blindly
optimistic.
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John Byrne
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Posted: 09 July 2024 at 4:29pm | IP Logged | 7  

Kamala Harris has proven a great disappointment for me. I realize this is mostly due to the place-holder status to which she’s been relegated, but she doesn’t really get my heart pumping.

No one does, including (especially) Biden.

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Brian Floyd
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Posted: 09 July 2024 at 4:33pm | IP Logged | 8  

I wish neither was running. But there is no scenario whatsoever where I'd vote for Trump over Biden. Or anyone else, actually. 

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Mark Haslett
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Posted: 09 July 2024 at 4:49pm | IP Logged | 9  

Kamala Harris has proven…**Acknowledging Harris’ general rep as
unexciting, she still polls ahead of Biden and, more importantly, she can
bring the fight to Trump for the rest of the campaign. She is far younger,
more capable, more comforting, more sane than Trump— which is what
swing voters and “double-haters” are saying they want.

Going with Harris gives the party a chance to transition smoothly. Otherwise
it becomes a process of conflict at the convention— but either way will
generate excitement for an anti-Trump candidate who can run on their
capabilities and as an option to Trump’s insanity.

Trump’s biggest weakness is that only enthusiastic Trumpers vote for
him.Biden’s biggest weakness is basically the same thing, but there are far-
fewer enthusiastic Biden voters in swing states.

If Biden stays, non-voters will give the victory to Trump.

Edited by Mark Haslett on 09 July 2024 at 4:51pm
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John Byrne
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Posted: 09 July 2024 at 5:15pm | IP Logged | 10  

Let’s be really harsh for a moment. Trump was elected by White fear. It’s sadly a significant part of Obama’s “legacy” that a huge portion of Americans utterly freaked out over a Black man in the Oval Office.

With Kamala Harris they are presented with a non-White WOMAN. How would the tiki torch crusaders respond to that?

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Joe Smith
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Posted: 09 July 2024 at 5:35pm | IP Logged | 11  

No one actually thinks that either one of those candidates has any real
power over the decision making critical to the ‘most powerful nation on
Earth’.
The time for play acting is long gone.
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Brennan Voboril
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Posted: 09 July 2024 at 5:38pm | IP Logged | 12  

I think if Harris gets the nod, she would lose by a bigger margin that Biden against Trump.  She's less than inspiring, to put if nicely.  
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