| Posted: 06 March 2008 at 1:01pm | IP Logged | 11
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As Michael points out, Hillary has won most, if not all, of the big Democrat states; on the flip side of that, most of the states that Obama has won are those that are overwhelming Republican and which are very, very unlikely to favor any Democrat in the General Election. ***************
SER: I don't see how you can dismiss victories in 27 states. Also, this viewpoint ignores the fact that Democrats have prior to 2000 won some of these overwhelming Republican states (Bill Clinton won Georgia in 1992, I believe).
Further, if the Democratic nominee focuses solely on the game-plan for electoral victory (the guaranteed Democratic states and then Ohio or Florida), that has an effect on Democrats chances in the pretty-much ignored states. This makes things difficult for Democratic governors and senators/representatives in those states. You'll notice that many of the red-state Democrats have endorsed Obama.
As for the states she's won, per another poster: NY, CA, NJ, MA, OH, TX
Obama did well in all those states relatively. He lost Texas by 3 points. There's no question that he would carry NY and CA. Ohio is a question mark because of McCain but I don't think that Obama, given his stances, would necessarily do signficantly worse than Clinton would.
****************** (All the talk about "Obama-mania" is ridiculously overwrought. The man is doing very well, no doubt -- and Clinton is right behind him, every step of the way. Of course in politics, like horseshoes, close doesn't cut it. But this notion that Obama is running away with the election, or has some kind of overwhelming support from the people, is total nonsense.) ************
SER: I would strongly disagree. This race was expected to be over and done with by Super Tuesday at best. Obama has remained competetive and is still technically beating the Clinton brand and decisively beat John Edwards, the vice presidential nominee from 2004. That speaks to both an impressive degree of support but also a very well-run campaign. Clinton has done this twice before if you grant her the exposure to Bill Clinton's 2 presidential runs.
In some ways, it's like ROCKY. Rocky going the distance with Apollo Creed but yet still losing is still far more a victory for him than for Creed.
And Obama is doing more than going the distance. We can't dispute a 27 state victory and a popular vote lead.
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