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Mark Haslett Byrne Robotics Member
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Joined: 19 April 2004 Location: United States Posts: 6593
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Posted: 10 July 2024 at 2:32am | IP Logged | 1
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Dave: …So history would say that a) it's not a good idea to drop the incumbent and b) there's plenty of time for things to change between July and November.
*** Those are apples and oranges. LBJ was not publicly viewed as an aging incompetent, Biden is. And the excitement around Trump was visible and unprecedented. Using LBJ and Trump to describe what this campaign has in store if Biden stays is to use fairy dust to explain how airplanes fly. Biden’s success or failure will have nothing to do with those examples.
In the other hand, building excitement around a new candidate will be like seeing how Trump beat the odds. The only thing missing is leadership. If Biden is going to stay and win, he better discover a hidden cache of visible leadership somewhere and take the lid off it. Right now, it’s obscured, shaky, and ineffective.
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Mark Haslett Byrne Robotics Member
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Joined: 19 April 2004 Location: United States Posts: 6593
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Posted: 10 July 2024 at 2:35am | IP Logged | 2
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Koroush, who cares who gets the “blame”?
If Trump wins, the least important thing in the world will be identifying who to “blame”.
Either he loses and we have a Republic to rebuild, or he wins and twenty- odd years of oligarchy begins.
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Koroush Ghazi Byrne Robotics Member
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Joined: 25 October 2009 Location: Australia Posts: 1687
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Posted: 10 July 2024 at 4:11am | IP Logged | 3
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Mark, correctly apportioning blame is part of what’s known as accountability
If Trump and his cronies had been made fully accountable for his unPresidented actions sooner, with greater vigour and clarity, then a second term for Trump as Der Fooler would be moot.
Many have said this, but it bears repeating: don’t get caught up in this prolonged, awkward - and highly public - soul-searching, genuflection and denigration of Joe Biden. At this late stage you won’t find a better candidate and you’re only giving Trump the distraction he sorely needs to swoop back into office.
Biden’s health is an irrelevance in this election campaign. A sock puppet would make a better President than Trump. In point of fact, the US President could be dead, and his public appearances carefully stage- managed by the Secret Service ala Weekend at Bernie’s and the US would most likely be better off in terms of more consistent and more rational policy formulation and execution!
The President as an all-powerful God-King is only a relatively recent development. And not a good one at that.
Meanwhile, Dems need to ignore the memes from far-right man-children and simply hammer home three crucial facts regarding Donald the Clown and his Party of Ill-Renown:
He/they are proven criminals traitors and self-confessed pals of global despots.
If you can’t win an election based on those key points then it’s fair to say that the electorate, and the political system as a whole, is beyond repair and catastrophic change is inevitable.
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Mark Haslett Byrne Robotics Member
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Joined: 19 April 2004 Location: United States Posts: 6593
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Posted: 10 July 2024 at 4:21am | IP Logged | 4
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Koroush, there will be no “accountability” if Trump wins.
The calculation that, “if Trump wins, then America deserved it” is so wrong headed that it’s practically superstition.
Elections are politics. Politics can be done to win or done to “move the dial.”
Dems have traditionally settled for moving dials since LBJ.
But this time it should be “just win, baby!”
I am so damn sad to see this is not a typical attitude right now.
Edited by Mark Haslett on 10 July 2024 at 4:23am
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Koroush Ghazi Byrne Robotics Member
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Joined: 25 October 2009 Location: Australia Posts: 1687
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Posted: 10 July 2024 at 5:57am | IP Logged | 5
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I confess my grasp of politics is tenuous at best, having been raised in a Diplomatic household, studying Political Science & Economics at uni, and ultimately giving regular briefings to a senior Minister in the Australian Govt.
So please excuse my naive observation that you and many other Americans seem to think that politics is - and should be - all about the “optics” as it’s now called, and how that can be finessed to cajole poor ol’ Mr and Mrs Sixpack into voting for your team at any price. Once the good guys are in power, everything will be fixed/improved.
Now Populism and bending to popular opinion have of course always been a part of political systems based on democracy. But with Trump becoming President, US politics jumped the shark. Populism is now apparently the only game in town, and Democrats seem ready to engage at that level.
I think a lesson born of observing former President Obama’s behaviour is needed. For example, Obama spoke to Trump, tolerated him, responding with dignity using facts when pressed by him; but he never lowered himself to Trump’s level… go ahead and find me just one ALL CAPS tweet full of insults from Obama ;)
/EDIT: Tried to fix the formatting damage done to my post by the forum gremlins but to no avail. Using standard Safari on iPhone 15 PM no other mods. Called the JBF Tech Support line but was told my basic membership didn’t entitle me to any tech help :(
Edited by Koroush Ghazi on 10 July 2024 at 6:11am
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James Woodcock Byrne Robotics Member
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Joined: 21 September 2007 Location: United Kingdom Posts: 7954
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Posted: 10 July 2024 at 6:01am | IP Logged | 6
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Charles posted: According to the polls in the UK and France, the right was supposed to win big … until they didn’t. (Correct me if I’m wrong) Le Pen was supposed to be the winner in France too. —————- The UK polls were showing an utter wipeout of the Tories 9right wing) for a long time. Reform (right wing) were increasing but no where near enough. Labour (left wing) were always more than 10 points ahead of the Tories.
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Rodrigo castellanos Byrne Robotics Member
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Joined: 03 July 2012 Location: Uruguay Posts: 1530
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Posted: 10 July 2024 at 6:09am | IP Logged | 7
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Saw a snippet from AOC today saying the only option now is to rally behind Biden. Found it surprising coming from her, but I think she has good instincts. If she is saying that, there really must not be a viable alternative.
With the benefit of hindsight, Biden should've resigned say two years into his presidency having fulfilled his duty of defeating Trump and having a moderately good presidency until then and give Kamala the chance to win Americans' good wills.
Now it's probably too late to change course. Outcome not looking good IMHO.
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Mark Haslett Byrne Robotics Member
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Joined: 19 April 2004 Location: United States Posts: 6593
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Posted: 10 July 2024 at 8:36am | IP Logged | 8
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Koroush: …Populism is now apparently the only game in town, and Democrats seem ready to engage at that level.
*** What in blue blazes are you talking about?
The entire left, center and middle right are unified like never before to try to stop Trump. We have a current nominee who, despite his inability to win, is a champion of ethical ruling. If he steps aside, it will be to make way for a similar politician in a good faith effort to unify more disparate voters against Trump’s populism.
Despite your impressive credentials, you seem to have no acquaintance with current politics in America. Thanks for clarifying that.
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Kevin Brown Byrne Robotics Member
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Joined: 31 May 2005 Location: United States Posts: 9083
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Posted: 10 July 2024 at 9:49am | IP Logged | 9
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This article might be of interest to some: https://sethabramson.substack.com/p/we-now-know-what-really- happened
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Casey Sager Byrne Robotics Member
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Joined: 16 April 2004 Location: United States Posts: 752
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Posted: 10 July 2024 at 2:33pm | IP Logged | 10
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Ahh more gaslighting.
So what I've seen with my own eyes that culminated at the debate didn't happen because his brain is mush.
To be clear, I will vote D down the ticket including if Biden is still the candidate. But if he IS the candidate I'll do it while choking down the bile.
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Casey Sager Byrne Robotics Member
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Joined: 16 April 2004 Location: United States Posts: 752
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Posted: 10 July 2024 at 2:37pm | IP Logged | 11
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This bears repeating:
Check the polling numbers, they weren't good before the debate and they're terrible now.
For reference: At this point in the last election, Biden was up 9 points in the polls and barely won by 40 thousand votes in a few swing states.
Bidens approval rating is currently at 37.5%. Historically in the last 40+ years NO incumbant with an approval rating of under 40% has won reelection.
It appears some here believe a political miracle will happen and refuse to believe the evidence presented.
Edited by Casey Sager on 10 July 2024 at 2:37pm
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Charles Valderrama Byrne Robotics Member
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Joined: 16 April 2004 Location: United States Posts: 4891
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Posted: 10 July 2024 at 5:37pm | IP Logged | 12
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Same 'political miracle' that happened in 2020... when many people were convinced Biden couldn't win... for many of the SAME reasons. (Pollsters were wrong then, remember?)
This time the media is really on board with helping a convicted felon, deranged, unethical, vengeance-obsessed wannabe dictator ex-President instead of urging HIM too step aside. The media is embracing fascism.
We are truly in dangerous territory.
-C!
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