Posted: 09 July 2024 at 2:40am | IP Logged | 4
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James Woodcock wrote:
This is not about loyalists. It’s about the undecided. Those that are prepared to make a choice between Biden & Trump. You are not going to convince them to choose Biden based on recent performance. |
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Sure, but where are the compelling arguments for Trump? Take the debate - "He ignored all of the questions, took no responsibility for anything that happened under his watch, took credit for things he had nothing to do with and spewed racist nonsense, but he sure was loud! I had my doubts, but now I KNOW that's my guy!" Or there's his recent diatribe about whether its better to get electrocuted by a bad battery from an electric boat or eaten by a shark. Or the Epstein files or...
When all is said and done, what will convince The Undecideds is completely unknown and I really wish the "step down" crowd would at least acknowledge that. So far, everything I see from that group reminds me of the underpants stealing gnomes from South Park:
Phase 1 - Drop Biden Phase 2 - ??? Phase 3 - Victory!
"President Biden is old" is hardly news; it was a Definite Concern back in 2020 as well. Moreover, he's never been one for stirring rhetoric and he's frequently flubbed his lines (his "gaffes" are the stuff of legend). It wasn't a dealbreaker back in 2020, so it won't necessarily be a dealbreaker now.
But even if you feel there's a significant risk that it is, it's not like swapping out the ticket is a guaranteed success. You lose the incumbency advantage (I think even Harris would take a hit since she wasn't In Charge) and if the Democrats nominate the "wrong" candidate (which, for all we know, could be any of the names currently being floated around for one reason or another), then the Undecideds may think that "we survived Trump before and it's not like he can run again; I'm sure it'll be fine."
Maybe I'm paying too much attention to Allan Lichtman's opinion, but I can't really see dropping Biden as the best option if the Democrats actually want to win. That said, I do think the campaign should have Harris do more events as if she WAS going to take over the ticket to kind of sell people on her as fully capable to take over if Biden doesn't make it the full four years.
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