Posted: 26 February 2010 at 2:38pm | IP Logged | 8
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You're overthinking it, Matthew. No, Mike, just thinking it. There's a big difference between the completely inaccurate "Where even 46% of FOX viewers think we need to get this ball rolling" (what you first said) and the somewhat more accurate "FOX News reported to their viewers that 46% want some action now" (which appears in your most recent note). Reality is that the results of a recently commissioned poll report 46 percent of registered voters responding said they want a plan passed this year. 50 percent of the registered voters responding in the same poll said they want nothing done now. Last time I looked, 50 percent was more than 46 percent. Now, if I want to interpret the results deeper, with a +/- 3 percent accuracy range, that means the “action now” result is safely within the 43-49 percent range, while the “full stop” result is safely within 47-53 percent range. In short, given probabilities of accuracy and the potential overlap, we’re essentially in a dead heat in public opinion. As reported in one poll. But if you look at a number of polls, you'll see that trend line remains consistent. The needle hiccups and bobbles a little, but it isn't moving dramatically one way or the other. So far. Let's see what comes of recent events. Another trend in the polling is that the Democrats will always be with Obama and the Republicans will always be against him on this issue. but Red and Blue isn't what this whole political theatre effort is about. It's to win the hearts and minds of the Independents. More specifically, the hearts and minds of Independents who could spell victory or defeat for a number of Democratic candidates this fall. If you read my note from earlier today, I think the Democrats should stop playing games and go for it up-or-down if they think they have the votes to pass Healthcare. But that's the problem, isn't it? By the admission of the Democratic leadership themselves, the current Senate bill won't pass in the House, and the current House bill won't pass in the Senate. The compromise between those two bills in committee is where the real gamesmanship is going to take place. Forget about the Republicans, Mike. You've got to make peace within your own family. And lastly, I presume the calls for "armed insurrection" by Fox News is modest hyperbole on your part, since I haven't seen them when I've clicked over to that channel. But then again, I might not be watching the right shows on that station. Or maybe, just maybe, you get the special “rile up the Democrats feed” that's beamed only to selected households...
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